Monday, September 29, 2008
The News
While I disagree with many about the correct course of action, I find economic policy fascinating. It was just a few short months ago when the media started to focus less on international issues (e.g. Iraq) and more on domestic issues (e.g. the U.S. economy). I am elated. Economics is interesting, impacting, and challenging. It as about time we focused more on our own problems at home rather than abroad. In fact, the financial crisis may even for an end to a war that has become a tedious, fruitless endeavor.
Personally, I support the do nothing approach. Let us allow the market to function. If the market collapses it will eventually rebuild at a cost to the investors who took the risk. Not me. I am not concerned about people who invested blindly. It is your money and there is risk where there is opportunity.
Monday, September 22, 2008
And to my earlier point: Crude Oil Has Biggest Gain Ever as Dollar Drops Against Euro
Investors looking to hedge against the dollar's decline earlier this year have helped lead oil, gold, corn and gasoline to records.
Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil climbed more than $25 a barrel, the biggest gain ever, as the dollar weakened the most against the euro since January 2001, boosting the appeal of commodities as a hedge.
Crude oil for October delivery rose $18.05, or 17 percent, to $122.60 a barrel at the 2:30 p.m. close of floor trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures climbed as much as $25.45 to $130 a barrel, the highest since July 22.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPhXLrPjePjQ&refer=home
Dollar Devaluation
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aBHEzyX6N2Rk&refer=home
Friday, September 19, 2008
Spellcheck Insight
Is that last sentence legit?
Wreck Less Regards
Thursday, September 18, 2008
McCain Says He Would Fire SEC's Cox If President
This man is possibly a better liar than Bush. I love the claims that he makes; especially when they conflict with his previous positions. I can't wait to vote for this man and ride the top of the wave to the demise of this fair land. Let us all hope for a cultural to develop where I am a pirate of sorts. I shall roam the earth piecing scraps of metal together to build weapons and wandering down abandoned highways to loot. For this first time in years I am starting to get excited about the direction this country is taking. Anarchy, or even a feudal system could work out well for me. There is just something magical about becoming a rogue nomad in a world with no legal recourse.
McCain Says He Would Fire SEC's Cox If President
Technically, the president can't remove Cox from the five- member SEC against his will, though Bush can pick one of the other four commissioners to serve as chairman. The SEC commissioners are appointed for fixed terms. Cox's term runs until June 2009.
The Arizona senator, while not naming Cox, said the SEC ``kept in place trading rules that let speculators and hedge funds turn our markets into a casino.''
``We cannot wait any longer for more failures in our financial system,'' McCain, who has supported deregulation in the past, said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aZurn_3dmJjg&refer=home
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
U.S. Economy: Pending Home Resales Decline More Than Forecast
Wachovia Corp. in June stopped offering option adjustable-rate mortgages, which let borrowers skip part of their payment and add the balance to principal. Chief Executive Officer Robert Steel said today the Charlotte, North Carolina, bank next year will cut $1.5 billion of expenses as it's ``tapping the brakes'' on risk.
Can you say prices need to drop significantly to find equilibrium in the market?
At the July sales rate, it would take 11.2 months to sell all the houses on the market, about twice the supply that reflects a balanced market, according to the agents' group.
Obviously they prices were too high. Eventually market forces. Even government intervention can only delay and exacerbate problems.
Home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas fell in June by 15.9 percent from a year earlier, the most on record, the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index showed on Aug. 26.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aZFgAxUK63y8&refer=home
Fannie Mae, Freddie `House of Cards' Prompts Takeover
If you aren't already aware Fannie and Freddie are going to be taken over by our increasingly overbearing big brother--the government. And, if it hasn't occurred to you yet, the write downs--aka losses due to defaults--will more than likely be capitalized into our national debt since Fannie and Freddie are quickly running out of assets. Awesome! Then I can pay for other people's poor decisions. I hope we go into a deep depression. Maybe people will then realize how messed up this country is. I am not worried anyway because I will survive and thrive. Besides, unemployment, starvation, riots and looting could be interesting.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac used accounting rules that created a ``house of cards'' as the housing market descended into its worst slump since the Great Depression.
Fannie counted $20.6 billion in so-called deferred tax credits toward its $47 billion of regulatory capital as of June 30, according to company disclosures. Freddie applied $18.4 billion in deferred-tax assets toward its $37.1 billion in regulatory capital in the second quarter.
Fannie and Freddie have posted four straight quarterly net losses totaling a combined $14.9 billion and have said they anticipate more. The tax credits don't have any value unless the companies are generating profit.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYidZnvS7ykg&refer=home
McCain May Privatize Fannie, Freddie; Obama Sees
John McCain and Barack Obama agree the Treasury needed to step in to rescue Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They disagree over how much the U.S. government should be involved in the housing market once the immediate crisis is past.
Republican Senator McCain of Arizona wants the government to take over the two agencies, split them up, and then exit the mortgage-finance business by selling them off. Democratic Senator Obama of Illinois is suggesting a more lasting federal involvement.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&sid=a1ujoLiLLz78&refer=home
Monday, September 8, 2008
Bubba is a Genius
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Speaking of Guns...
The following story may persuade you to reconsider your vote; as if my banter about the predetermined election has not already. Besides the fact that the election will be rigged, here is another reason you might consider voting for McCain / Palin.
Obama refused to sign the Heller brief, and supports reinstituting the Clinton gun and magazine ban. He also supports Ted Kennedy's bill to ban semi-automatic handguns in the guise of "micro-stamping," and supports banning inexpensive handguns as "junk guns." Sen. McCain's running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, is a NRA Life Member and hunter who says, "I support our Constitutional right to bear arms and am a proponent of gun safety programs for Alaska's youth," adding "I have always strongly supported the personal use of fish and game by Alaskans. I grew up hunting and fishing in Alaska, and I am proud to raise my children with this same uniquely Alaskan heritage."
To put it simply, Gov. Sarah Palin would be one of the most pro-gun vice-presidents in American history, and Joe Biden would definitely be the most anti-gun.
http://www.nraila.org/Legislation/Federal/Read.aspx?id=4156
Discounting Costco to Wal-Mart Signals Surge on Sales
It is interesting that their has long been a relationship between Costco and Wal-Mart stock price movement. They are both discount retailers, so it makes sense. With Americans straped for cash and bleeding benjamins at the pump, it may be time to go to Wal-Mart and Costco and take stock in them as well.
If I wasn't buried in debt, I would purchase some Costco stock.
Sept. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Costco Wholesale Corp., the biggest U.S. warehouse club, may have its best holiday-shopping season since going public 23 years ago because most U.S. retailers are preparing to have their worst since 1979.
Over the next 12 months, that will change with the warehouse chain likely to outperform the world's largest retailer [Wal-Mart],
gaining 27 percent to $85 a share, according to estimates by Edward Weller, a ThinkPanmure LLC analyst in San Francisco. A surge in the stock would follow an historical relationship between the two chains' shares, based on data compiled by Bloomberg. Costco lagged behind run-ups in Wal-Mart at least four times in the past four years before rallying to surpass it.Costco's price-to-earnings ratio of 23 is ``low compared to where they've been historically,'' said Patricia Edwards, a portfolio manager at Wentworth Hauser & Violich in Seattle.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601213&sid=a0AFVOR4NeYI&refer=home
Palin Steps Forward to Fill In Blanks as National Candidate
``America will have a strong and principled vice president,'' Bush said in a speech delivered via satellite from the White House.
Then, there are the increasing examples of her questionable actions. Looks like her and McCain will win for sure because no one pays attention to this. All they seem to care about is her gender.
Palin's reputation as an agent of change rests on her record as governor. She says she broke with the ``old-boy network'' by facing down oil and gas companies over energy development and tax rates and canceling a project to build a bridge to an island with 50 full-time residents. That project, dubbed the ``bridge to nowhere,'' was to be funded by a $223 million federal budget earmark that became a symbol of congressional spending excess.
In fact, Palin supported the bridge while running for governor, telling the Anchorage Daily News on Oct. 22, 2006, that she would continue state funding for it.
Veco Money
She also accepted $5,000 in campaign contributions in 2001 from executives of Veco Corp., an Anchorage-based oil-services company, when she was running for lieutenant governor. Veco is at the heart of a federal investigation of alleged political corruption; two executives pleaded guilty last year to bribing state politicians.
http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aXRFPlbM7wuM&refer=home
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Credit Card Bond Spreads Reach Record Over Benchmarks
I was taken back slightly as I read the following lines. Consumer debt is $2.59 trillion. That is about 1/3 of the national deficit. Without doing the calculation, I estimate that is roughly $10,ooo in debt for every man woman and child in this country. It would be interesting to find the per capita income and then derive the percentage of income paid out in interests each year. It kind of seems like share cropping all over again. History repeats itself in mysterious ways.
U.S. consumers borrowed more than twice as much as economists forecast in June. Consumer credit rose by $14.3 billion, the most since November, to $2.59 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve.
http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a2qvrELyaqmA&refer=home
Song of the Week (9/6/08)
This song is dark and mellow like a fine chocolate. It appeared on Aesop Rock's second album: Float (1999). Like usual, the lyrics are deep, unorthodox, and riddle with satire. Dreams are easily crushed by the people who want to tell you how to do it. Think it trough. Commit to it, buckle down and get it done. This is inspiration to the "people who keep an impressive wingspan even when the cubicle shrink (None Shall Pass 2008)."
"know your limits only to break your limits. Are you listening? God dammit boy, pay attention!"
"Dream away the blame pain, yeah but it seeps through the cracks,And drips from the ceiling and smells the rich scent of my tracks.All I ever really wanted was a jungle, and a jungle I got,See it ain't the vision it's the plot that makes me stop."
Song:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9W2SbJbR6ys
Lyrics:
http://www.musicsonglyrics.com/A/aesoprocklyrics/aesoprockhowtobeacarpenterlyrics.htm
More of St. Paul via I-Witness Video
Twin Cities: Police State
Twin Cities: Police State
via ACLU Blog: Because Freedom Can't Blog Itself: Official Blog of the American Civil Liberties Union by Suzanne Ito, ACLU on 9/2/08
Scary news has been coming out of Minneapolis since Sunday, where police have been
raiding homes and making mass arrests. Glenn Greenwald has been all over the story. He writes:
Beginning [Sunday] night, St. Paul was the most militarized I have ever seen an American city be, even more so than Manhattan in the week of 9/11 — with troops of federal, state and local law enforcement agents marching around with riot gear, machine guns, and tear gas canisters, shouting military chants and marching in military formations. Humvees and law enforcement officers with rifles were posted on various buildings and balconies. Numerous protesters and observers were tear gassed and injured.
U.S. Manufacturing Contracting
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&sid=aZefCZbvH2lM&refer=home
Intructables: Portobello Mushroom with Grilled Feta Burger
http://www.instructables.com/id/Portobello_Mushroom_with_Grilled_Feta_Burger/
Oil is Moving Down Again
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=afYvxHexr7PY&refer=home